Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227326          16          48          32           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000831813          15          44          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.27561e-07           6          61          32           1           0        B6.0
est. ISN   =            23           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            11.25       52.00       32.25        4.50        0.00     B6.1
 
realized                                                                                      B4.8