Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227343          17          48          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000834112          15          46          32           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   8.59221e-08           6          63          28           3           0        B4.2
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                            11.50       52.75       31.25        4.50        0.00     B5.3
 
realized                                                                                      B6.5