Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227172          17          48          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000829841          14          44          34           8           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   6.37897e-08          17          67          15           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =            12          21          58          19           2           0        B2.9
 
together                            17.25       54.25       24.75        3.75        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                      B1.6