Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227138          17          48          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000830917          15          43          34           8           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   6.21680e-08          20          65          14           1           0        B2.4
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            17.50       55.00       23.75        3.75        0.00     B3.6
 
realized                                                                                      B2.6