Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227117          17          47          32           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000830181          14          44          34           8           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   5.88441e-08          25          64          10           1           0        B1.8
est. ISN   =            18          18          59          20           3           0        B3.2
 
together                            18.50       53.50       24.00        4.00        0.00     B3.5
 
realized                                                                                      B2.4