Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227009          18          47          32           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000833057          15          45          33           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   3.85266e-08          59          38           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            19          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            26.75       47.25       22.50        3.50        0.00     B2.9
 
realized                                                                                      B2.6