Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226983          18          47          32           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000832817          15          44          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   3.28839e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            13          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                            28.50       47.25       21.25        3.00        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                      B1.5