Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226935          18          49          30           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000829707          14          44          34           8           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   2.63223e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            13          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                            28.25       47.75       20.75        3.25        0.00     B2.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)