Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227431          17          47          32           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000843076          13          48          32           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   6.39387e-08          17          67          15           1           0        B2.5
est. ISN   =            23           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            13.75       54.25       27.50        4.50        0.00     B5.0
 
realized                                                                                      B1.6