Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227724          17          46          33           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000854945          13          49          35           3           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   8.36266e-08           5          64          28           3           0        B4.1
est. ISN   =            28           7          54          32           7           0        B6.3
 
together                            10.50       53.25       32.00        4.25        0.00     B5.3
 
realized                                                                                      B5.0