Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228355          14          41          41           4           0        B7.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000870336          14          44          38           4           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   1.40304e-07           8          62          29           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                            11.00       50.25       35.50        3.25        0.00     B6.9
 
realized                                                                                      B5.1