Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228739          12          44          40           4           0        B6.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000877536          11          45          39           5           0        B7.5
GOES Xray  =   1.64031e-07          12          57          25           6           0        B7.0
est. ISN   =            23           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            10.75       50.25       33.75        5.25        0.00     B7.0
 
realized                                                                                      B5.4