Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228050          14          45          37           4           0        B6.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000860957          13          47          35           5           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   1.04706e-07           7          57          33           3           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                            10.50       50.75       34.75        4.00        0.00     B6.3
 
realized                                                                                      B2.1