Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227988          14          45          37           4           0        B6.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000860752          14          47          34           5           0        B6.9
GOES Xray  =   1.06962e-07           7          59          31           3           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            16          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                            12.75       54.00       29.50        3.75        0.00     B5.3
 
realized                                                                                      B2.8