Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228052          14          45          37           4           0        B6.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000852807          13          49          35           3           0        B6.9
GOES Xray  =   1.11359e-07           7          56          35           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            13          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                            13.50       53.00       31.00        2.50        0.00     B5.3
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4