Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227087          16          48          33           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000831826          15          44          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   5.60182e-08          32          61           7           0           0        B1.6
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            28.25       48.50       20.75        2.50        0.00     B2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3