Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226700          20          46          30           4           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000823507          12          46          34           8           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   6.93147e-09          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            36.00       42.00       18.75        3.25        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                      B1.8