Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226945          18          49          30           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000828743          14          44          34           8           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   4.20256e-08          55          41           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            34.25       43.75       19.00        3.00        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2