Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227084          16          48          33           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000831425          15          44          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   5.32292e-08          36          55           8           1           0        B1.4
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            21.00       52.50       23.00        3.50        0.00     B3.2
 
realized                                                                                      B3.6