Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231447           9          35          45          11           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000914117           8          49          36           7           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   4.53605e-07           2           1          81          14           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =            58           3          18          65          13           1        C2.9
 
together                             5.50       25.75       56.75       11.25        0.75     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C3.3