Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233160           4          48          37          11           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000967992           2          30          50          16           2        C2.0
GOES Xray  =   4.89615e-07           3           1          64          31           1        C5.4
est. ISN   =            62           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             3.50       23.25       52.50       19.50        1.25     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      M1.2