Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232516           5          41          46           8           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000971014           2          28          51          16           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   3.91894e-07           1           3          75          20           1        C3.3
est. ISN   =            72           1           5          54          36           4        C7.0
 
together                             2.25       19.25       56.50       20.00        2.00     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C3.7