Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236348           4          30          57           8           1        C1.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103109           3          17          56          21           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   7.52316e-07           1           0          50          41           8        C9.9
est. ISN   =            80           1           3          65          27           4        C5.6
 
together                             2.25       12.50       57.00       24.25        4.00     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4