Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237315           2          25          60          11           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106707           2          14          62          19           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   7.83031e-07           1           0          53          39           7        C8.6
est. ISN   =            91           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.25        9.75       62.50       22.25        4.25     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3