Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235382           5          40          43          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102676           3          17          55          22           3        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   6.67943e-07           1           0          61          32           6        C7.7
est. ISN   =            87           1           0          66          28           5        C6.0
 
together                             2.25       14.25       56.50       23.25        3.75     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6