Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237835           5          25          55          13           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105422           3          14          58          20           5        C4.2
GOES Xray  =   9.23629e-07           1           0          45          45           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =            68           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             2.50       11.75       56.25       25.25        4.25     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      C7.4