Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236289           4          29          57           9           1        C1.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103655           3          19          54          19           5        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   7.85507e-07           1           0          53          39           7        C8.6
est. ISN   =            67           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             2.00       13.75       58.25       22.50        3.50     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C3.4