Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232250           6          42          45           7           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000969969           2          29          50          16           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   3.75967e-07           1           5          78          16           0        C2.8
est. ISN   =            61           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             3.00       22.75       58.50       14.50        1.25     C2.4
 
realized                                                                                      M1.8