Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230809          10          39          40          11           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000937286           4          39          48           9           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   2.78580e-07           3          30          60           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             4.50       31.50       53.25       10.50        0.25     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C4.6