Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230334          10          41          38          11           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000924288           6          48          40           6           0        B9.3
GOES Xray  =   2.69698e-07           1          34          59           6           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =            42           5          36          52           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             5.50       39.75       47.25        7.00        0.50     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      B8.3