Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228751          12          44          40           4           0        B6.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000879886           8          44          43           5           0        B9.6
GOES Xray  =   1.43337e-07          10          63          26           1           0        B6.7
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            20.25       47.75       29.50        2.50        0.00     B5.3
 
realized                                                                                      B4.7