Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228626          11          43          42           4           0        B7.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000876058          11          44          40           5           0        B7.5
GOES Xray  =   1.40409e-07           8          62          29           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            20.25       47.25       30.00        2.50        0.00     B5.3
 
realized                                                                                      B4.4