Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227823          15          47          34           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000855329          14          49          34           3           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   1.13001e-07           7          58          33           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            15          19          62          17           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            13.75       54.00       29.50        2.75        0.00     B5.1
 
realized                                                                                      B3.2