Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227964          15          46          35           4           0        B6.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000857132          14          49          34           3           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   1.40076e-07           8          62          29           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =            21          12          52          33           3           0        B6.5
 
together                            12.25       52.25       32.75        2.75        0.00     B6.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1