Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230269          10          41          39          10           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000909582           5          52          34           9           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   2.51855e-07           2          35          54           9           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =            37           6          49          35          10           0        B8.3
 
together                             5.75       44.25       40.50        9.50        0.00     C1.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)