Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231818           7          42          43           8           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000953635           1          35          49          14           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   3.38530e-07           3           5          77          15           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =            60           3          17          61          18           1        C3.2
 
together                             3.50       24.75       57.50       13.75        0.50     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.8