Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231814           7          42          43           8           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000954645           1          34          50          14           1        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   3.48801e-07           3           4          76          17           0        C2.5
est. ISN   =            56           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             3.25       24.75       57.75       13.75        0.50     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C4.2