Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232081           7          42          45           6           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000967136           2          30          51          15           2        C2.0
GOES Xray  =   3.35432e-07           3           6          76          15           0        C2.3
est. ISN   =            61           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             3.75       23.25       58.25       13.75        1.00     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6