Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231773           7          42          43           8           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000959472           2          30          54          13           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   3.18474e-07           4          10          74          12           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             3.75       24.25       60.00       11.50        0.50     C1.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.8