Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231247           9          39          42          10           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000951547           1          34          51          13           1        C1.8
GOES Xray  =   2.89218e-07           2          22          68           8           0        C1.8
est. ISN   =            38           6          50          37           7           0        B8.8
 
together                             4.50       36.25       49.50        9.50        0.25     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      M1.5