Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228893          12          44          40           4           0        B7.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000899718           4          45          41          10           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   1.29396e-07           6          60          33           1           0        B6.5
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            10.00       53.25       32.50        4.25        0.00     B6.6
 
realized                                                                                      B5.5