Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228635          11          43          42           4           0        B7.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000886485           6          43          41          10           0        C1.2
GOES Xray  =   9.55624e-08           6          61          29           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =            11          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            11.25       51.25       32.50        5.00        0.00     B5.8
 
realized                                                                                      B1.7