Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229398          12          41          39           8           0        B7.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000898621           5          43          42          10           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   2.14019e-07           2          43          48           7           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             6.00       40.75       44.75        8.00        0.50     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C7.2