Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229288          13          40          40           7           0        B7.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000897118           6          45          39          10           0        B9.8
GOES Xray  =   2.05559e-07           2          45          47           6           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             6.25       38.25       47.00        8.00        0.50     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4