Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230117          12          42          37           9           0        B7.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000909530           5          52          34           9           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   3.05187e-07           4          12          75           9           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            48           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             6.25       31.75       52.25        9.00        0.75     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C3.1