Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234236           4          47          37          11           1        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000972291           2          27          51          17           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   7.20779e-07           1           0          55          34          10        C8.6
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             2.00       23.00       52.00       19.25        3.75     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      C6.7