Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232915           4          47          38          11           0        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000945829           1          34          53          12           0        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   5.52432e-07           1           0          71          24           4        C5.6
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             2.25       27.25       55.75       13.50        1.25     C2.2
 
realized                                                                                      C2.7