Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233356           3          48          37          12           0        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000945932           1          34          53          12           0        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   6.20549e-07           1           0          66          29           4        C6.4
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             1.50       24.25       56.50       16.50        1.25     C2.7
 
realized                                                                                      C8.6