Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233502           3          48          37          12           0        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000946602           1          35          52          12           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   5.90337e-07           1           0          69          27           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =            46           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             2.00       26.75       55.00       14.75        1.50     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.2