Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233960           4          43          39          13           1        C1.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000961337           2          31          50          15           2        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   6.28060e-07           1           0          65          31           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =            65           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             2.50       21.00       54.50       20.00        2.00     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      C5.8